Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #11
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 47.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Circle City Classic Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite Golden Bear Invitational Westfield JV Tri Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 9/29 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 284 214 353 499 285 379 324 716 314 275 293
Team Adjusted Rating 214 252 279 285 269 324 283 314 275 293
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Classic Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite Golden Bear Invitational Westfield JV Tri Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
49  Austin Callahan 12 16:18 16:03 16:03 16:14 16:31 16:21 16:17 16:22
76  Dominic Stein 12 16:29 16:20 16:18 16:33 16:32 16:58 16:32 16:21 16:22
124  Holden King 12 16:44 16:24 16:19 16:52 16:27 16:44 17:03 16:36 17:18
156  Gavin Morrow 12 16:50 16:36 16:46 16:34 16:49 16:51 16:50 17:01 17:03
158  Nicholas Schramm 12 16:50 16:38 17:07 16:59 16:56 17:25 17:04 16:43
182  Ethan Hines 10 16:54 17:47 17:31 17:15 17:02 16:51 16:49 16:54 16:46 16:47
533  Evan McNeany 11 17:42 17:21 17:20 17:15 17:27 17:41 18:09 17:46 18:01 17:51 17:47
646  Christian Geary 11 17:54 18:22 17:35 17:57 17:30 17:55 17:49 18:16
723  Ben Grissom 9 18:01 19:19 18:06 17:41 17:59 17:57 18:01
959  Johnny King 9 18:22 18:13 18:38 18:35 18:40 18:16 18:10 18:18
1,073  Jack Weber 10 18:30 19:41 19:29 18:27 18:42 18:09 18:06
1,366  Nathan Traub 10 18:52 19:03 19:07 18:35 19:00 18:45
Christian Ward 12 19:00 19:05 19:31 19:30 19:00 18:37 18:54
Tyler Backlund 12 19:52 19:04 20:20 20:05 19:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.3 323 0.3 0.7 0.8 2.6 4.1 7.2 10.4 10.6 10.5 9.2 9.8 7.1 5.8 5.2 4.2 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 6.1 169 0.2 1.8 3.7 10.5 23.6 21.0 16.5 13.5 8.3 1.1
Regionals 100% 4.3 109 0.1 2.3 7.7 55.4 25.7 8.5 0.4
Sectionals 100% 3.2 75 0.9 8.7 61.4 29.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 49.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 84.8%
Dominic Stein 100% 74.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 53.7%
Holden King 100% 109.5 12.8%
Gavin Morrow 100% 123.2 4.6%
Nicholas Schramm 100% 122.9 4.8%
Ethan Hines 100% 131.8 2.1%
Evan McNeany 100% 189.7 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 19.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.1 3.9 5.4 5.4 5.6 6.5 6.3 4.8 5.3 5.0 5.0 4.2 3.6 3.8 100.0%
Dominic Stein 100% 27.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.9 2.3 3.9 2.6 3.8 4.0 3.2 4.4 3.6 4.4 100.0%
Holden King 100% 44.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 97.8%
Gavin Morrow 100% 52.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 93.2%
Nicholas Schramm 100% 53.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 93.0%
Ethan Hines 100% 58.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 87.2%
Evan McNeany 100% 124.3 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 11.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.1 4.0 6.4 7.1 7.8 9.9 9.0 9.1 8.5 7.7 5.7 4.5 3.6 3.4 2.4 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Dominic Stein 100% 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.8 1.6 2.2 3.9 3.9 6.3 6.3 6.6 5.1 8.2 8.5 7.7 7.4 6.2 6.1 4.9 4.2 2.3 1.5 100.0%
Holden King 100% 24.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.1 3.9 3.7 5.7 5.6 5.9 7.3 5.7 6.4 100.0%
Gavin Morrow 100% 28.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.7 3.4 4.5 5.2 5.2 100.0%
Nicholas Schramm 100% 28.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.6 4.5 5.3 5.7 100.0%
Ethan Hines 100% 31.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 100.0%
Evan McNeany 100% 59.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 6.9 0.5 4.5 7.7 10.5 14.5 13.3 11.4 10.0 7.9 6.9 4.4 2.8 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1
Dominic Stein 10.7 0.2 0.4 2.4 4.3 6.6 7.9 10.0 10.2 11.5 10.7 7.2 6.6 7.4 5.7 3.4 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Holden King 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 2.3 3.2 4.9 7.1 6.6 6.5 8.3 11.0 9.7 8.7 8.3 6.0 5.7 3.7 3.3 1.4
Gavin Morrow 19.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.9 4.5 6.6 6.8 8.5 8.7 10.2 10.2 9.4 9.1 5.6 4.2
Nicholas Schramm 19.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.1 2.1 2.6 4.0 4.6 5.9 7.4 6.6 9.1 9.0 9.7 9.0 8.3 7.8 4.9
Ethan Hines 21.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 2.1 2.6 4.0 4.9 5.4 9.0 8.2 9.6 11.0 9.0 10.6 7.2
Evan McNeany 30.1 0.1